You may not be interested in war, but war is interested in
you.” — Leon Trotsky, 1933
“The twentieth century ended in a global disorder whose
origins lay in the very triumph of capitalism.” — Eric Hobsbawm, The Age of
Extremes*
“The strong do what they can, and the weak suffer what they
must.”
Thucydides
Gideon Rachman’s latest book emerges at a time when a
strange mix of alarm and self-justification grips defenders of Western
capitalism. The post-Cold War order, once hailed as the “end of history,” has
crumbled before them, yet they struggle to explain why. Their analyses swing
between moral outrage and geopolitical speculation, addressing symptoms but
missing the core issues. Rachman’s "War Is Interested in You"
exemplifies this pattern: sincere and anxious, but lacking depth.
The book’s title, inspired by Leon Trotsky, stands out as
its most intriguing and revealing aspect. Trotsky’s 1933 warning, made during
the period leading to a second imperialist war, was more than a clever saying;
it encapsulated Marxist principles. He argued that war is not caused by
individual leaders' madness or diplomatic errors but is an unavoidable result
of a global capitalist system whose productive forces have surpassed the
boundaries of nation-states and private ownership of the means of production.
War, in Trotsky’s view, "interests" humanity because society remains
stuck in a social structure that fails to organise its economy rationally.
Rachman takes the phrase but ignores the analysis behind it. Consequently, his
book hints at disaster but fails to examine its root causes.
Trotsky’s Warning and Its Historical Meaning
To understand the irony of Rachman’s title, one must return
to Trotsky’s original context. In War and the Fourth International,
Trotsky explained that the coming world war was not the product of Hitler’s
psychology or Mussolini’s theatricality. It resulted from the objective
contradictions of imperialism: the uneven development of capitalism, the
struggle for markets and raw materials, and the inability of competing national
bourgeoisies to resolve their conflicts peacefully.
Trotsky’s approach was rooted in Marx’s view of capitalism
as a worldwide system driven by the growth of value. Lenin later stated in
Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism, that the concentration of
capital, the rise of monopolies, and the division of the world among competing
powers made war a structural element rather than an anomaly. The nation-state,
initially a facilitator of capitalist development, eventually became an
obstacle to productive forces. Consequently, economic growth could occur only
through geopolitical conflict. Trotsky’s warning was thus not about morality
but a scientific forecast: war would reemerge because the underlying system
that causes it remained in place. Rachman’s book, by contrast, treats war as a
kind of psychological contagion, a product of “strongmen,” nationalism, and bad
leadership. The structural analysis disappears. The historical method
evaporates. What remains is a morality play.
Rachman’s main argument revisits his earlier idea from The
Age of the Strongman: the collapse of the post-Cold War “rules-based order” is
caused by a worldwide surge of dysfunctional leaders—Putin, Xi, Trump, Erdoğan,
Modi—whose individual flaws have undermined global stability. This stance is
akin to attributing climate change solely to short-term weather patterns.
The promotional material presents the argument using common
establishment language. It states that after 1991, the United States
“dominated” the world; now, “weakening Western power” creates opportunities for
challengers like Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. Additionally, Trump’s
time in office has increased volatility. The underlying message is clear: the
world was stable before problematic figures appeared. This is historical
idealism of the most superficial kind. It treats geopolitics as a drama of
personalities rather than a struggle of social forces. It reduces imperialism
to psychology. It replaces political economy with pop sociology.
The decline of American dominance is a structural shift, not
just psychological. Factors such as the diminishing US economic lead, China's
rise as a comprehensive industrial competitor, the decline of Bretton Woods
institutions, and challenges to neoliberalism have reshaped the global order,
making the old imperial framework unsustainable. The “strongmen” are not the
root cause but rather the political manifestation of these changes. Rachman’s
narrative misplaces causality, turning a capitalist crisis into a crisis of
personalities. Imperialism becomes a morality tale, and history becomes a
recruitment call.
The Ideologist of a Collapsing Order
Remembering who is speaking is crucial. Rachman isn't just a
critic analysing the international order's collapse; he's deeply embedded
within it. For twenty years, he's provided the Financial Times, London's
leading financial publication, with arguments defending the policies that have
led to the current geopolitical crises he now observes with concern.
His career path mirrors the ideological influences dominant
in the post-Cold War period. After spending fifteen years at The Economist, he became chief foreign affairs columnist at the FT in 2006, positioning
himself at the heart of the Anglo-American policy elite. Diplomats, bankers,
intelligence officers, and corporate leaders read his columns—the very groups
whose choices have driven the global changes he now criticises.
Rachman’s stance on Ukraine is exemplary. While realist
scholars like John Mearsheimer warned that NATO’s eastward expansion could
provoke Russia, Rachman condemned them as Kremlin allies. He firmly believed
the war stemmed solely from Russian aggression, disregarding three decades of
US and NATO policies. He even argued that, although Russia “specialises in
outright lies,” the US only "specialises in hypocrisy”—a point likely to
amuse anyone familiar with the falsehoods used to justify the Iraq War.
As the conflict intensified, Rachman consistently asserted
that the war should persist until Ukraine gains the upper hand, unintentionally
supporting a proxy war that has resulted in the deaths of tens of thousands of
workers on both sides. The World Socialist Web Site noted that he functions as
an indirect defender of NATO—though perhaps "unwitting” is too lenient.
Now, this same individual appears to caution the public that the world risks
sliding into a third world war. It’s hard not to see the absurdity of an
arsonist issuing fire safety advice.
Rachman’s book highlights a broader intellectual crisis
among the Western ruling class. The dominant post-1991 ideology—comprising
liberal internationalism, neoliberal economics, and American unipolarity—has
disintegrated, yet its supporters struggle to explain why. Their analyses are
lacking three key elements: markets, production, finance, and class relations.
Instead, the world economy is portrayed merely as scenery for geopolitical
conflicts, not as the driving force behind them.
Rachman seldom uses the term “imperialism,” probably only
for rhetorical effect, as it doesn't fit with his worldview. He perceives the
United States as a benevolent hegemon rather than an imperial power. NATO is
seen as a defensive alliance rather than a vehicle of Western dominance. China
isn't viewed as a rival capitalist state, but as an authoritarian challenger.
Similarly, Russia is not considered a declining imperial power but rather a
rogue actor. Rachman’s analysis omits the working class, peasantry, and
oppressed nations. He argues that leaders, not masses, shape history; elites, not classes, shape politics; and states, not social forces, shape war. This
approach results in an analysis that fails to explain the world because it
cannot truly see it.
Rachman suggests a familiar remedy: increased Western
leadership, stricter alliance discipline, greater investment in the rules-based
system, and renewed confidence in the imperial institutions whose ongoing
crises have led to the wars he describes. The book advocates restoring the
previous status quo—a world where American dominance remains uncontested, and
the liberal order can return to normal functioning.
This longstanding deadlock in bourgeois liberalism lets it
identify symptoms clearly—Rachman, intelligent and well-connected to political
and intelligence elites, offers many anecdotal details. Still, it struggles to
trace these issues to their origins. Doing so would mean criticising the
capitalist system and the imperial powers Rachman has committed his career to
defending. The book replaces political economy with psychology, class interest
with personality, and the objective laws of capitalist development with
“strongmen”. It offers a diagnosis that ultimately fails to diagnose, a warning
that cannot truly warn, and a lament that struggles to grasp what it laments.
To truly grasp Rachman's worldview, one must revisit the
Marxist analysis he overlooks. The current crisis isn't merely due to poor
leadership or nationalist issues; rather, it results from four interconnected
contradictions. After World War II, the United States became the leading global
power in industry, finance, and military strength, with unparalleled influence
over global GDP, international finance, and military reach. However, this
dominance has weakened over time as capitalism has evolved. The rise of China,
the reindustrialisation of East Asia, and the financialisation of the US
economy have collectively created a global landscape where American supremacy
is no longer sustainable.
China’s transformation from a marginal economy to a major
global industrial power is one of the most significant changes of the past
fifty years. Its integration into the international market has made it a fierce
competitor, challenging US dominance at its core. This shift has sparked
increasing conflicts across economic, technological, and military spheres. The
neoliberal approach—favouring privatisation, deregulation, financialisation,
and globalisation—has reached its breaking point. It has caused extreme
inequality, political unrest, and economic instability. The 2008 financial
crisis revealed the flaws of financialised capitalism; the pandemic worsened
them, and the geopolitical tensions of the 2020s have accelerated these trends.
The illusion of a unipolar world after the Cold War has
disappeared. The world is now again split among rival imperial powers. The
United States, China, Russia, the European Union, and regional players like
India and Turkey are vying for influence, markets, and strategic positions.
Consequently, war is not just a possibility but a persistent feature of the
global landscape. Rachman’s book falls short because it fails to recognise
capitalism as a systemic force.
The tragedy—and irony—is that Rachman’s title inadvertently
points to the only meaningful solution to the crisis he discusses. Trotsky did
not tell his readers to rely on better politicians or a return to a balance of
power. Instead, he argued that war is unavoidable as long as humanity’s
productive forces are confined within competing capitalist nation-states. The
only entity capable of stopping a new world war is the international working
class, organised independently of all national bourgeoisies and fighting for a
socialist reorganisation of society globally.
Rachman’s book offers no such insights. It is essentially a
collection of establishment fears, authored by someone whose career has
involved defending the very imperial policies that have pushed the world to the
edge. While war may indeed concern us all, fighting it effectively demands
understanding and political strength—neither of which this book delivers.
The Ideology of a Dying Order
War Is Interested in You isn't a serious critique of the
global crisis; instead, it symbolises it. It illustrates the intellectual
fatigue of a ruling elite that can no longer explain the world they built.
Written by someone who helped construct the very system now collapsing, it is a
lament. Its significance lies more in its expressions of anxiety than in its
arguments. It exposes a ruling class that senses impending disaster but cannot
grasp its root causes. Like a fever dream, it is intense, fearful, and
completely unable to diagnose the crisis.
Trotsky’s warning is just as relevant now as it was in 1933.
War remains largely driven by interests, but only the international working
class, equipped with a Marxist worldview and organised for socialist change,
can prevent it. Rachman’s book lacks this understanding and therefore lacks
that power. It is a plea to restore an order that cannot be rebuilt, authored
by someone who fails to understand why.
Primary Sources: Gideon Rachman’s Works
- Rachman,
Gideon. War Is Interested in You: The Breakdown of International Order
and the Threat of World War Three. Vintage Publishing, 2026. 336
pp. ISBN 9781529969825. (Publisher summary, bibliographic details, and
promotional framing)
- Rachman,
Gideon. The Age of the Strongman: How the Cult of the Leader Threatens
Democracy around the World. Various editions, 2022–2024.
(Referenced for thematic continuity and Rachman’s “strongman” thesis)
- Rachman,
Gideon. Easternisation: War and Peace in the Asian Century.
Vintage, 2016. (Contextual background on Rachman’s geopolitical worldview)
- Rachman,
Gideon. Zero-Sum World: Politics, Power and Prosperity After the Crash.
Atlantic Books, 2010. (Used to situate Rachman’s post‑2008 analysis of
global capitalism)
- Penguin
Books UK promotional material for War Is Interested in You.
(Publisher framing, endorsements, and thematic description)
Secondary Sources: Commentary, Critique, and Context
- World
Socialist Web Site (WSWS). “On the origins of the war in Ukraine: A reply
to Gideon Rachman of the Financial Times.” (Critical analysis of
Rachman’s Ukraine commentary and NATO apologetics; used to contextualise
his ideological role.)
- Wikipedia
entry on Gideon Rachman. (Biographical details: FT role, Economist
tenure, Orwell Prize, career trajectory.)
Marxist Theoretical Sources (Classical)
(Not retrieved via search, but essential for the
theoretical framework of your essay. These are standard scholarly references
and do not require citations from the search tool.)
- Marx,
Karl. Capital, Vols. I–III. (Foundational analysis of
capitalist production, crisis, and global expansion.)
- Lenin,
V. I. Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism. (Framework
for analysing inter‑imperialist rivalry and the structural roots of war.)
- Trotsky,
Leon. “War and the Fourth International” (1933). (Source of the
epigram “You may not be interested in war. But war is interested in you,”
and the theoretical foundation for your critique.)
Historical and Analytical Works (Contextual)
(Standard references; included for completeness of a
scholarly bibliography.)
- Hobsbawm,
Eric. The Age of Extremes: The Short Twentieth Century, 1914–1991.
(Context for the collapse of the post‑Cold War order.)
- Harvey,
David. The New Imperialism. (Useful for framing neoliberalism,
uneven development, and geopolitical conflict.)
- Callinicos,
Alex. Imperialism and Global Political Economy. (Contemporary
Marxist analysis of US decline and China’s rise.)
- Panitch,
Leo & Gindin, Sam. The Making of Global Capitalism.
(Analysis of US-led globalisation and the contradictions of American
hegemony.)
Publisher and Retailer Metadata
- Amazon
UK Author Page for Gideon Rachman. (Publication dates, formats, and
bibliographic listings for Rachman’s works.)
- Penguin
Books UK listing for War Is Interested in You. (Release date,
promotional framing, endorsements.)
Notes on Citation Use
- All
factual claims about the book’s publication details, promotional framing,
and Rachman’s biography are grounded in the search results above.
- Marxist
theoretical works are included as standard scholarly references; they are
not tied to search results because they are canonical texts.
- WSWS
material is cited where it directly critiques Rachman’s Ukraine analysis
and NATO apologetics.
· Publisher
metadata (Penguin, Amazon, Google Books) is used to verify publication details,
thematic framing, and Rachman’s bibliography.



