A crisis 21 years in the making
Manchester United is once again preparing to sack a manager.
Sunday's 3-0 home defeat to Bournemouth, following a 4-1 thrashing by Como, has
left Michael Carrick's position untenable barely months after he was handed the
job permanently. He would become the eighth man to occupy the dugout since Sir
Alex Ferguson retired in 2013. The club that dominated English football for two
decades is now, in Wilson's words, a mid-table laughing stock under a stadium
roof that leaks whenever it rains.
In a column published Monday, Wilson poses the obvious
question. When a club burns through managers at this rate, is the manager
really the problem? He points upward: to director of football Jason Wilcox, to
chief executive Omar Berrada, to Sir Jim Ratcliffe, whom he describes
accurately as a cost-cutting tax exile, and finally to the Glazer family, whose
2005 leveraged buyout plunged the club into debt.
Wilson then reaches for literature. United's story, he
argues, has taken the form of a classical tragedy, in which a small, seemingly
unrelated incident, swollen by pride, brings the whole edifice down. That
incident was a horse called Rock of Gibraltar. The episode is worth recounting.
It sheds a harsh light on the social layer that owns and runs modern football.
But the conclusion Wilson draws from it, that a club was lost "for the
want of a horse", obscures far more than it reveals.
Millionaires at the races
The affair began in 1999 at York racecourse. Irish
bloodstock magnate John Magnier won the Gimcrack Stakes with a horse. Custom
required the owner to address the Gimcrack Dinner. Magnier, who disliked public
speaking, asked his friend Alex Ferguson to speak for him. The racing
establishment refused.
To spite them, Magnier began registering horses in
Ferguson's name. In 2001 one of them, Rock of Gibraltar, won the Gimcrack, and
Ferguson duly gave his speech. Around the same time, Magnier and his business
partner JP McManus began buying up shares in Manchester United, then a company
listed on the London Stock Exchange.
The horse proved to be a champion, winning seven consecutive
Group One races. The prize money ran to roughly £800,000. The real prize,
however, lay in stud fees worth tens of millions. Ferguson claimed a verbal
agreement entitled him to half of them. Magnier remembered the arrangement very
differently.
Ferguson sued. What followed was a brawl fought by City
methods. Questions about Ferguson's transfer dealings began to circulate.
Magnier and McManus submitted a list of 99 questions to the United board, which
the Daily Mail promptly ran. Ferguson settled for £2.5 million.
The two Irish financiers then decided to sell. A buyer was
waiting: Malcolm Glazer, an American businessman who had been accumulating
United shares. According to Wilson, Ferguson backed Glazer. In 2005, Magnier
and McManus sold out for £260 million, a profit of close to £100 million.
It is a revealing detail that Ferguson, a former Govan
shipyard apprentice who began adult life as a trade union shop steward and has
long presented himself as a Labour man, ended up supporting the asset-stripper
who bought his club with borrowed money—two decades of proximity to wealth had
done its work. When the interests of the workers and fans who sustained the
club collided with his own, he chose his side with little doubt.
The leveraged buyout: debt as a business model
The Glazer takeover, valued at around £790 million, was a
classic leveraged buyout. Most of the purchase price was borrowed, and the club
took on the debt. United, which had been profitable and debt-free, was made to
pay for the privilege of being bought.
What followed was two decades of extraction. By most
independent estimates, well over £1 billion has flowed out of the club in
interest payments, banking fees and dividends since 2005. In 2012, the Glazers
floated a minority of shares on the New York Stock Exchange, structured so that
the family retained voting control. They used the money to refinance debt, not rebuild
the team.
Ferguson's personal authority and an exceptional squad
masked the rot for eight years. United won five more league titles and the 2008
Champions League. But once he retired, the club's sporting operation was
revealed as hollow. Successive managers—David Moyes, Louis van Gaal, José
Mourinho, Ole Gunnar Solskjær, Erik ten Hag, Ruben Amorim and now Carrick—were
hired and discarded. The club spent hundreds of millions on players assembled
with no coherent plan.
Meanwhile, Old Trafford, once the country's most admired
stadium, was left to decay. Season ticket prices rose. The Glazers' contempt
for the club's supporters peaked in April 2021, when they joined the abortive
European Super League, a closed competition designed to guarantee revenue for a
cartel of the richest clubs. Mass protests followed, and fans forced the
postponement of a home match against Liverpool.
None of this deviated from the norm of English football. It was its logic carried through. The Premier League was founded in 1992 as a breakaway designed to capture television money for the top clubs. United had been floated on the stock market the year before. Football was being remade as an investment field, and every club became an asset to be bought, leveraged, and milked.
Ratcliffe: austerity on the terraces
When Sir Jim Ratcliffe bought a minority stake in 2024 and
took over football operations, sections of the media hailed him as a saviour.
The billionaire owner of the Ineos petrochemicals empire, a Brexit supporter
who moved his residence to Monaco, was presented as a hard-headed businessman
who would sweep away the Glazers' incompetence.
Instead, he swept away jobs. The club made hundreds of staff
redundant across two rounds of cuts. Concessionary tickets for children and
pensioners were scrapped or curtailed. Prices for remaining matchday tickets
were raised. Even small staff perks were withdrawn. The club's workers and its
working-class supporters were made to pay for a crisis created entirely at the
top.
Wilson notes the irony that, had Magnier and McManus held on
to their shares until Ratcliffe came along, they would have pocketed roughly £1
billion more. The figure is telling. While the team declined and the stadium
crumbled, the club's value as a financial asset soared. That is the essential
contradiction. United's decline as a football club and its rise as a
speculative property were not opposites. They were two sides of the same
process.
Not a tragedy, but a social process
Wilson is one of the most thoughtful writers on football,
and his account of the Rock of Gibraltar affair is valuable. But his framework
is the liberal one of accident and personality. The club fell, in his telling,
because of a quarrel between proud men over a horse.
This turns history upside down. Had Rock of Gibraltar never
raced, United would still have been a publicly traded company in an industry
flooded with television money. It would still have been circled by hedge funds,
private equity and billionaires seeking an asset with a global brand. The horse
determined which speculator acquired the club, and when. It did not determine
that a speculator would.
Every major English club tells a version of the same story. A
Russian oligarch bought Chelsea and sold it to a US private equity consortium. Gulf
states own Manchester City and Newcastle United. American sports investment
groups hold Liverpool, Arsenal and others. Lower down the pyramid, clubs such
as Bury and Macclesfield Town have been driven out of existence by financial
mismanagement. United's fate is not exceptional. It is the most visible
expression of a general process.
That process mirrors capitalism's development over the past
four decades. The leveraged buyout, the stripping of assets, the ballooning of
share values alongside the decay of the real enterprise: the City and Wall
Street perfected these methods before applying them to football. Under the
Thatcher and Blair governments, they applied the same methods to industry,
housing and public services. Football was simply another social institution
handed over to the market.
Manchester United was born in 1878 as Newton Heath, a team
of railway workers. For most of its history, it was a focus of collective
identity for the working class of an industrial city. Today it is a ticker
symbol. Those who sustain it, the staff in its offices and kitchens and the
supporters in the stands, have no say in its direction.
The solution does not lie in finding a better billionaire,
nor in the various schemes of "fan ownership" that leave the profit
system intact. As long as football remains a commodity, capital will govern it.
Restoring it to the people who love it requires bringing it, like every other
major sphere of social life, under democratic public control. That task is
bound up with the broader struggle of the working class against the financial
oligarchy that dominates economic life. Rock of Gibraltar did not destroy
Manchester United. Capitalism did.
Sources
- Jonathan
Wilson, "The
horse that ushered in Manchester United's 21-year tragic arc", The
Guardian, 26 October 2026 (syndicated copy)
- Figures
on the Glazer era's debt costs and the Ratcliffe-era cuts are from widely
reported public accounts and are approximate.